Since the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) in 2010, much of the media focus has been on individuals who were previously denied coverage because of preexisting conditions or financial barriers. Now, studies are focusing on the large group of individuals who, prior to the ACA, simply chose not to purchase health insurance. The reports demonstrate that due to the Individual Mandate portion of the ACA, which requires individuals to purchase health insurance, many more individuals are choosing to participate in their employers’ health plans.
The increased participation in employer health plans will inevitably cost employers. Most recently, Wal-Mart announced that a dramatic increase in employees signing up for insurance through the company will cost its stockholders $500 million — up from the company’s previous estimate of $330 million. Although Wal-Mart is experiencing the employer-based insurance shift on a large scale, many employers nationwide are expected to see a jump in participation in their health plans. Recently, the National Business Group on Health announced that large employers should expect to see a 6.5% rise in healthcare costs in 2015.
Although The New England Journal of Medicine and members of the Urban Institute both note a rise in individuals signing up for insurance through their employers, other analysts predict that employers’ costs will be too high, and that the employers will simply “dump” these employees into their state’s health insurance marketplace. Many experts, however, expect that if such dumping were to occur, it would come from small employers who merely cannot afford to offer adequate health plans.